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A civil war in Russia is unfolding in a hidden form, and its transition to an open form is practically a foregone conclusion, inevitable. I am not thinking about how to prevent it, but rather how to win it.
#Russia

My personal conviction is that, at some point, Russia will inevitably face another Caucasian war. There’s a certain irony in history, that what this regime began with is what it will ultimately end with.
#Russia

Some kind of permission will ultimately be granted. It will be given in a limited form, for a restricted amount of weapons. Referring to the permission for Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Even if Pokrovsk falls, but the front does not collapse, I do not believe in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in the very long term.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

It is quite clear that sooner or later YouTube will be banned in Russia, unless the regime is overthrown before that... more likely, the regime will cancel YouTube
#Russia #Internet #Censorship

I cannot imagine that this will be a trench war for 10-15 years.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

As for future exchanges, I have a bad feeling that this situation was unique... Unfortunately, I think this situation will not repeat itself very quickly. We shouldn't expect more prisoner exchanges between Russia and other countries soon, similar to the one that took place on August 1, 2024.
#Russia