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For Putin, of course, leaving Crimea would mean a political end; this would definitely mark the end of his political career.
#Putin #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

In this situation, people will not press it. The 'red button' for nuclear weapons will not be pressed if Crimea is de-occupied.
#War in Ukraine #Nuclear weapons #Russia #Ukraine

I think that the likelihood of the Americans providing long-range weapons is close to 100%. For Ukraine
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine

It seems to me that this war will not end on the territory of Ukraine, but on the territory of Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I would estimate, so to speak, 30 to 70. 30% that he will join, 70% that he will not join. 70% that Lukashenko will not join the war against Ukraine
#War in Ukraine #Lukashenko #Belarus #Ukraine #Russia

The change of power in Russia will happen sooner than the war in Ukraine ends.
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine

My forecast, based purely on intuition and general practice, is that Trump — or rather, to be more precise, the Republicans — should lose these midterm elections, and the majority in Congress should shift to the Democrats. Whether that happens or not, we’ll see.
#USA #Elections