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The way he’s proposing to fly to Mars is impossible because of cosmic radiation, and no human will make it to Mars. They just won’t make it—they’ll die; everyone will die from the cosmic radiation.
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Deploying weapons in space, creating manned and unmanned space bases, and so on. Putting weapons into space is inevitable, unavoidable. This isn’t a science fiction novel; this is real life on Earth.
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Mars is about 200 years away. It will be fully livable, colonized, and as easy to visit as a weekend getaway. Not in our lifetime.
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I think we will live to see a human on Mars.
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We have a better chance of seeing a human on the Moon again. It might be an American, it might be a Chinese. I think this will happen in the next 10–15 years.
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I think that the first years, if not decades, of Mars exploration will be carried out by robots. Speaking about building stations on Mars.
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And now a new trend has emerged. They have started talking about space. About possible wars in space. I believe this is inevitable in the next 10-15 years.
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Let the viewers who are watching and listening to us today remember the year 2035 — the year when a human will leave their footprint on the surface of Mars. Thirty-five. That’s my prediction.
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American scientists even came up with a project: to use a large meteorite crater as a radio telescope dish by covering it with wires — essentially creating a reflective surface and turning it into a natural radio telescope. This would require such enormous costs and effort that, for now, the project is considered something for the distant future. But Chinese astronomers have decided to do it now — within the next 7 to 10 years. They’re talking about five years. I looked at the scale of the project and realized that it’s unlikely to be completed in less than 10 years.
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Since no one has reached the finish line yet, it's hard to say who's ahead. But judging by the pace, it's the Americans. However, the Chinese are catching up very actively. But I don’t think they’ll make it. The Americans will land on the Moon again. They have a huge head start. They have two large rockets. And now there’s also Elon Musk and Bezos.
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I believe we will find life on Mars... This will happen in the coming years, I am sure.
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China wants to land on the Moon by 2030 and start developing it, as we discussed before. They’ll be extracting resources from the Moon and everything else. And you’ll see—this will be 100% certain.
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It won't take Elon Musk several decades for this... So by around 2030, he will probably say: "Well, now buy your tickets, the rocket has become reliable, some to the Moon, some to Mars." By around 2030, it should be possible to fly to the Moon and Mars on Elon Musk's rockets.
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2029 Response to the question "What's your guess" (about when people will first arrive on Mars)
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These will be uncrewed to test the reliability of landing intact on Mars. If those landings go well, then the first crewed flights to Mars will be in 4 years.
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The first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens.
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