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Vladislav Inozemtsev

Let’s say inflation is above 15%, GDP drops by 1–1.5%, the budget is cut by 10%, and the standard of living declines. If we define that as a crisis, then the probability of it happening... in the second half of next year, the probability is around 15–20%. In response to the question: “How would you assess the probability of a crisis happening this year or next?”
Expected December 31, 2026
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Notes and References

1) [https://youtu.be/aaTp3FE1LZ0?t=2057]

Prediction params: expected, complex, careful