Predictions and promises monitor

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#Gaza

Authors
17
Predictions
17
Verified
3
Came true
33%
Complex
100%
Confident
100%

Ivan Yakovina

I said from the very beginning that I think the operation will end with, well, basically a genocide of all those Arabs, and there will be none of them left at all—either they’ll be driven out or the entire population of Gaza will be killed off, and Israel will annex this territory. I think, in the end, that’s what will happen. In response to the question: "How do you think Israel’s operation in Gaza will end?"
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Most likely, it will all end up just being a freeze, as it has happened before. There will be some sort of middle ground compromise where Israeli forces, for example, will withdraw from most of Gaza, but may maintain a presence in a buffer zone to prevent new attacks by militants. The entire issue will be frozen under the pretext of restarting the negotiation process. I think this is the most realistic scenario right now. There will be a freeze in the war between Israel and Hamas.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Middle East
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

There are talks that Iran threatens to start a war if Israel begins a military operation in the Gaza Strip. If a war does start, Israel will wipe Iran and its army off the face of the earth in a matter of days. They won't even need to conduct a ground operation for that.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Israel-Hamas war #Gaza
ru → en

Yurii Romanenko

Hamas can significantly change the geopolitical landscape in this way if Israel does not completely defeat them. And I think it's unlikely that Israel will be able to completely destroy them, because it will require an operation that involves huge resources, and they will need to enter the Gaza Strip and clear everything out...
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Arkady Babchenko

I believe that this time the existence of the Gaza Strip will be reduced to zero... There will be no more Gaza Strip... In what form, I do not know... There will be complete Israeli control, the Israeli army... there will be no autonomy there. I have no doubts that there will be no more Gaza Strip.
Expected
#Gaza #Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Iran #Gaza #Lebanon
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Expected February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

David Sharp

The wars in the Middle East will not end for a long time... and 2024 will be a year of war. Answer to the question: 'Will we see the end of the war in the Middle East in 2024?'
Expected December 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas
ru → en