Predictions and promises monitor

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Ilia Novikov

Lawyer (Russia, Ukraine)

Predictions
7
Verified
5
Came true
60%
Complex
80%
Confident
80%
5.65

Ilia Novikov

TCC, in Russian, is a military enlistment office... My prediction is they'll try to play with this for a while, then they'll run out of military enlistment offices that can be hit by drones. Using a large missile or several missiles to completely destroy a military enlistment office is a rather unprofitable project. And in a month or two, we won't hear about these targeted attacks on military enlistment offices anymore. In a month or two, Russia will stop targeted attacks on Ukraine's TCCs.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

If you are willing to consider my expertise on Ukrainian politics, then my forecast is yes—the matter will end in the coming weeks with the resignation of the Minister of Defense and their replacement with a new one.
Did not come true
#Ukraine
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

The second peace summit cannot be more successful than the first. And the first one was not successful at all... Unfortunately, the peace summit cannot help us.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

This parade in Moscow is the last one. The Victory Parade on May 9th 2022
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

Putin will not physically go anywhere... that is 100 percent. He will not go to Turkey, nor to Minsk, nor anywhere. About the possible negotiations between Vladimir Zelensky and Vladimir Putin in the near future (presumably April-May 2022).
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

I think that the sky will not be closed. Context: at the very beginning of the war, Zelensky asked allies to close the sky over Ukraine.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en