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Ranking Predictions Authors

Ruslan Leviev

Founder of Conflict Intelligence Team (Russia)


Predictions
97
Verified
50
Came true
92%
Rating
7.57

New Awaiting Verified

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast

Completely came true September 17, 2025

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Many researchers suggest that Russia has a plan to move further towards the village of Velykyi Burluk... But by the end of summer, no, that's too far, it's beyond Russia's capabilities right now

Completely came true September 17, 2025

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I think the situation will unfold as follows. Today, I expect that even though the deadline has passed, Trump will most likely say something like, "Well, we did agree with the Russian side to arrange a meeting, and in doing so, we're signaling the end of the war, so why impose sanctions now?" That is what I expect will most likely happen

Completely came true August 9, 2025

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

That's the situation with the truce. As you can see, it’s over, and now the shelling has resumed. I don't expect any strong reaction from the U.S. The Kremlin will now say, “Look, Ukraine is not capable of making agreements, it violated the truce.” Most likely, there won’t even be much of a reaction from the American administration. And that’s how this Easter truce came to an end

Completely came true May 10, 2025

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I doubt that such a decision will be made in the near future. Only if the practice of Russian drones or missile incursions becomes more frequent, and random civilians are killed on European territory (The answer to the question: "Will the countries bordering Ukraine shoot down Russian missiles?")

Completely came true January 3, 2025

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

We do not expect a collapse of the front (On Ukraine’s side)

Completely came true December 31, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Where will Russia reach by 2025?... To Sloviansk, I am sure, it definitely will not reach... I am making such cautious subjective predictions

Completely came true December 31, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Attacks on Lgov, the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant... on Kurchatov... in my opinion, this is complete nonsense. Clearly, this will not happen (The Armed Forces of Ukraine will not go to Lgov, Kurchatov, and the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant)

Completely came true December 19, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Most likely, I assume that today, tomorrow, or the day after—in the next 3-4-5 days—there will be more strikes with ATACMS, Storm Shadow, and SCALP on some targets within Russian territory

Completely came true December 5, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Russia can bomb all the way to Lviv, which it periodically does. However, Ukraine is restricted, as if to say, "You can't go there." I believe we should come to a situation, and I think we will eventually, when this restriction will be lifted (Restriction on Ukraine's strikes on Russian territory using foreign weapons)

Completely came true November 21, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Apparently, the Taurus missiles that can fly 500 km, if we see them at all, will not be anytime soon (These missiles are unlikely to be delivered to Ukraine anytime soon, if they are delivered at all)

Completely came true November 15, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I doubt that they will be able to capture Pokrovsk by November. That would be too optimistic for the Russian army

Completely came true November 1, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Where will Russia reach by 2025? Uglidar will clearly not be held... I am making such cautious subjective predictions (Ukraine will not be able to retain Uglidar)

Completely came true October 2, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I find this absolutely impossible... What would be the point of entering the Kursk and Belgorod regions to occupy something there? If a mechanized offensive were to begin on Russian territory, the question of further support from Europe arises... Europe and America do not want to see ground combat on Russian territory (Response to the remark: "The Ukrainian counteroffensive may include entering the Kursk, Belgorod, and Bryansk regions")

Did not come true August 31, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Of course. Undoubtedly. I am sure that such attacks will happen again. They may use different types of drones or missiles... In this regard, Russia is vulnerable, and it is possible to strike military facilities (Answer to the question: 'Can we expect to see such attacks in the near future?' (Drone attacks on military facilities in Russia, similar to the attack on the Engels airfield))

Completely came true August 18, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

We believe that nothing will come of it (Commenting on the proposal by the Estonian Foreign Minister to ban the issuance of Schengen visas to Russians at the EU level)

Completely came true July 27, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

And most likely, the shelling of Kharkiv will certainly not stop (About the shelling from Russia after the liberation of the main part of Kharkiv Oblast by Ukrainian forces)

Completely came true May 31, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I do not expect that in the next month and a half, suddenly, the Russian side will stop the attacks due to the fact that the losses are too high (Attacks on Avdiivka)

Completely came true March 1, 2024

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Considering all these remarks, I do not expect any other large-scale deliveries this year... the task of reaching Melitopol this year is unachievable, given all the difficulties (For the Armed Forces of Ukraine)

Completely came true December 31, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I have no doubt that the war will not end in this calendar year

Completely came true December 31, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I'm not sure that they will ever be provided at all (ATACMS missiles to Ukraine)

Did not come true October 17, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

And most likely, after this, the grain deal will definitely come to an end

Completely came true July 18, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Probably, in April-May, I would expect less from the Ukrainian side regarding any large-scale counteroffensive

Completely came true June 10, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

We do not expect this at all... Russia will clearly not blow it up (The Kakhovka Dam)

Completely came true June 6, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I would say it's quite a funny scenario (A scenario of a large-scale Russian offensive on Odessa in early 2023)

Completely came true June 1, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Bakhmut itself is a large area. It won't be easy to capture it quickly. Therefore, I think we will be talking about Bakhmut for a long time, likely in the coming weeks

Completely came true May 30, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

It is unlikely that it will be possible to cut off electricity entirely in Ukraine, that is, to arrange a blackout

Completely came true April 30, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I am absolutely sure that there will definitely be a second wave, maybe not in January, maybe later (The second wave of mobilization in Russia)

Did not come true April 30, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I also don't think that Shoigu will be punished in any way for the failure with the Crimean Bridge

Completely came true February 8, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I don't think that if the Kherson region is liberated, they will immediately go for Crimea (Armed Forces of Ukraine)

Completely came true February 1, 2023

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I haven't seen any objective factors supporting this version... it sounds quite doubtful (That Russia will leave the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in the near future)

Completely came true December 31, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I think... they will clearly provide new air defense systems... but this will not allow for 100% coverage of the sky (Allies will provide air defense to Ukraine after the massive shelling of Ukraine on October 10)

Completely came true December 31, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I do not expect that in the coming month Ukrainian forces will withdraw from Bakhmut

Completely came true December 29, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Probably, we will not see the Ukrainian flag in Kherson in the next two weeks

Did not come true November 11, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

It can be assumed that if the Antonivskyi Bridge is blown up and a threat is created to Nova Kakhovka, then perhaps the Russian forces will decide to withdraw from Kherson. But so far, we do not see any prerequisites for this. They will try to hold their position in Kherson

Completely came true November 11, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Apparently, they will end up not completing anything and will have to use some kind of ferry crossing (About the restoration of the Antonivskyi Bridge over the Dnipro by the Russian occupation forces)

Completely came true November 10, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

One should not expect that Kherson will be liberated within a week or two or three. Most likely, it will be a lengthy process

Completely came true November 10, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

We believe that at this point, Ukrainian forces will not advance further; they will not move into the Luhansk region (Further than the Oskol River)

Completely came true October 31, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

It is likely that martial law will be introduced because of this... it can be declared in certain regions

Completely came true October 19, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Ukrainian forces are likely to launch a large-scale counteroffensive in the fall

Completely came true October 1, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Russia will be able to fight for a month and a half to two months; it will not withstand heavy fighting for longer... then partial mobilization will be required

Completely came true September 21, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

If this war lasts a year, there will definitely be a need to call up reservists

Completely came true September 21, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

If those HIMARS that were promised actually start to be provided, then I think that in a month we will see a serious change in the situation

Completely came true September 15, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

We do not expect an offensive on Odesa (In the near future)

Completely came true June 7, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

I don't think they will now force the Dnieper to the left bank (Armed Forces of Ukraine)

Completely came true May 31, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

The situation in Mariupol is dire. It is practically impossible to unblock it now

Completely came true May 31, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

But for now, there is no such danger. We do not see signs that mobilization is being prepared (Within a month. In Russia)

Completely came true May 25, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

As is known, the Azov Regiment is located in Mariupol, which will be a huge problem for the Russian forces

Completely came true May 20, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

Today, Putin announced that we are canceling the assault on Azovstal. But naturally, the gunfire will not stop in any way. We are absolutely certain of this... bombs will continue to be dropped on Azovstal... there will be shelling from a distance

Completely came true May 20, 2022

Ruslan Leviev

ru → en

It is clear that nothing like that will happen (Talking about the Easter truce)

Completely came true April 25, 2022