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Ranking Predictions Authors

Sergei Markov

Political scientist, state and public figure (Russia)


Predictions
43
Verified
25
Came true
44%
Rating
4.74

New Awaiting Verified

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Were you planning a summer trip to Anapa? And already considering canceling it? Cancel the cancellation! By summer, all of Anapa's beaches will be completely cleaned of oil residue. Enormous resources are being directed towards the cleanup. Thousands of volunteers—and some non-volunteers—are working. All the sand will be sifted. The cleanup will be personally overseen by the Minister of Natural Resources, Kozlov. All this so that millions of families with children can enjoy their summer vacation in Anapa!

Did not come true June 1, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

My forecast? No—my insight: the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will collapse now due to Ukraine’s ultimatums. But that will be the first move, a pass.
After that, the second move: an announcement will be made about a meeting between Putin and Trump as soon as possible

Did not come true May 31, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

India and Pakistan:
1. They carried out strikes against each other — around 10 strikes each, with approximately 10–30 casualties on each side.
2. There is little global concern.
3. Even though they each have about 170 nuclear warheads.
4. It is believed they will exchange another one or two rounds of strikes, gradually de-escalating, and then it will all calm down.
5. This reflects the hatred between Hindus and Muslims.
6. And the unresolved territorial issue.
7. China supports Pakistan.
8. The USA, Britain, and Israel support India.
9. Islamic countries, including Turkey, support Pakistan.
10. Russia is neutral, but India has closer relations with Russia than Pakistan does.
11. The forecast: another 20 or so people may be killed, and then things will settle down

Completely came true May 30, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Talks in Istanbul — what’s going on?
1. Putin won’t go to Zelensky because Zelensky wants to stage a hostile show.
2. But if Trump comes, then Putin will come too

Completely came true May 15, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor

Completely came true May 6, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

A cautious forecast—the Kursk region will be cleared of Ukrainian forces by the end of March

Almost came true March 31, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Prediction: South Korean President Yoon will be in prison within a few days

Completely came true January 15, 2025

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long

Did not come true December 31, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

There will be no further collapse of Syria—Assad will gather all resources

Did not come true December 10, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

The first to congratulate Trump on his victory was the president of El Salvador, just now. All Western leaders will congratulate Trump with mournful expressions only after the signal—when Harris concedes defeat

Did not come true November 6, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Moldova. Sandu is likely to lose the election in the second round with a 90% probability. She is in shock and has been postponing her press appearance for many hours

Did not come true November 4, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Military logic. Apparently, Selydove will soon be taken by the Russian army. I would assume that it will happen in about two weeks

Almost came true October 30, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

In the event of the death of Iranian President Raisi, there will not be a major internal crisis in Iran. The real leader of Iran is not the president, but the spiritual leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. There will simply be new presidential elections

Completely came true August 20, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Now Biden will definitely run for president for a second term

Did not come true July 21, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate

Did not come true July 6, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

The elections to the European Parliament will be on June 9. The European People's Party, the party of the establishment, euro-bureaucracy, and oligarchy, will win again

Completely came true June 9, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Deputy Minister of Defense Timur Ivanov has been arrested. He was responsible for construction. Everyone is wondering—could this be a signal to Shoigu that he won't be in the next government after May 7? Calm down. He will be. Since the catastrophic 2022, Shoigu has created a new army that repelled the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023. And in 2024, it will be on the offensive. Shoigu has accomplished a managerial feat

Did not come true May 12, 2024

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Many are joking about my prediction that the ruble won't be allowed to fall below 100. I admit that I am not an economist. But, having thought it over, I repeat my prediction about the ruble now – in the near future, the heads of the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance will get a reprimand, and the exchange rate will drop below 100.
Among the factors weakening the ruble, there are both temporary and psychological factors. Therefore, my prediction is that the ruble will be less than 100.
Although many currently believe that since the ruble has broken the 100 mark, it will stay there. But I still think, even though I am not an economist, that it will go slightly below 100. We'll see

Completely came true December 31, 2023

Sergei Markov

ru → en

I don't think Wagner will leave Bakhmut on May 10... I believe the threat from Prigozhin to withdraw Wagner from Bakhmut on May 10 will not materialize

Completely came true May 11, 2023

Sergei Markov

ru → en

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death... The British citizens are expected to be executed because having British citizenship is considered an aggravating factor. Britain is one of the main culprits responsible for the tens of thousands of deaths in Ukraine

Did not come true September 21, 2022

Sergei Markov

ru → en

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death. It is most likely that the Moroccan citizen will be pardoned as a gesture towards Arab nations, who have not joined the sanctions against Russia

Completely came true September 21, 2022

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Russian army tanks are already in Kharkiv. The anti-fascists in Kharkiv will take control of the entire city in the coming hours (By "anti-fascists," he means pro-Russian forces)

Did not come true May 31, 2022

Sergei Markov

ru → en

Mariupol will be "liberated" today. It is the main economic center of the Donbas, even more economically powerful than Donetsk. Of course, it should have been "liberated" back in 2014 (Referring to the capture of Mariupol by Russian forces. Supporters of Russia's invasion of Ukraine use the term "liberation" to describe the occupation)

Did not come true May 20, 2022

Sergei Markov

ru → en

A well-prepared and well-equipped Afghan army, trained and supplied by the Americans, mostly switched to the side of the enemies of the United States. The Ukrainian army will eventually do the same

Did not come true March 1, 2022

Sergei Markov

ru → en

A war between Russia and Ukraine is impossible

Did not come true February 24, 2022