Sergei Markov
ru → en
Trump promised to announce a surprise for Russia on Monday, July 14th. Everyone's guessing what it could be. My opinion is that Trump will issue a soft ultimatum:
If Russia doesn't make concessions, a harsh sanctions law will be passed: a 500% trade tariff for countries that trade with Russia and don't pay "tribute" to Ukraine.
And a partial lifting of sanctions if Russia makes concessions.
But of course, no one can accurately predict Trump. Not even he himself
Notes and references
1) https://t.me/logikamarkova/18145
Params: awaiting results, complex, careful