Sergei Markov
ru → en
Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate
Did not come true July 6, 2024Notes and references
1) Telegram channel "Logika Markova" https://t.me/logikamarkova/12706
2) Masoud Pezeshkian has won Iran’s presidential election https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/05/middleeast/pezeshkian-wins-irans-vote-intl-hnk/index.html
Params: did not come true (+2), regular (+0), careful (+0)
Final rating 2