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Ranking Predictions Authors

Michael Nacke

Blogger (Russia)


Predictions
54
Verified
24
Came true
54%
Rating
5.24

New Awaiting Verified

Michael Nacke

ru → en

I think the surprise over North Koreans participating in the war and being used in combat roles will, by the middle of next year, become quite a common story. In other words, we’ll be watching plenty of videos of FPV drones taking down North Koreans

Did not come true October 3, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

This will have quite a few different consequences, and one of them we are seeing now in the rise of oil prices. But this is a hysterical market reaction — I don't think it will last long. I believe oil will go down fairly quickly (Due to Israel’s strike on Iran, oil prices have risen, but they will go down soon)

Completely came true August 13, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Pete Hegseth is about to lose his position any day now. Remember this tweet. Well, maybe not literally any day — but soon, Pete Hegseth will no longer be at the head of the Pentagon

Did not come true June 30, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Zelensky said he would personally come to Istanbul and wait there for Vladimir Putin. A strong move. Putin definitely won’t go there

Completely came true May 15, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Scholz is done; there’s no Scholz anymore—he’s ruined everything. He won’t be in the next government. There will be early elections now. We will never hear his name again

Completely came true February 24, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet (PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority)

Did not come true January 31, 2025

Michael Nacke

ru → en

...there isn't even the death penalty. They are currently discussing lifting the moratorium on it in Russia. I don't think they will do it

Completely came true December 31, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

I do not for a second entertain the thought that Russia has any chance of taking Pokrovsk by the end of this year

Completely came true December 31, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

As far as I understand, the plan of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is to hold the Kursk region until the start of the negotiation process, which, as it seems to me, will begin in November after the American elections, regardless of their outcome. It is a very bold assumption on my part, and I am not ready to insist on it as some kind of forecast

Did not come true November 30, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Remember the joy of the Z-channels from the strikes on Ukraine's civilian infrastructure. Very soon, it will be replaced by outrage and wailing from the strikes of ATACMS on Russian airfields. Today's shelling has brought this decision closer, with or without the approval of the United States

Completely came true November 26, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

I no longer see a scenario in which Trump wins

Did not come true November 6, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

If the Ukrainian army really remains in the Kursk region and expands its presence, the Russian army will not be able to take Pokrovsk, and Donald Trump will lose. I think that in November, at the end of November, or at the beginning of December, there will be mobilization in Russia

Unverifiable November 6, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

I have a feeling that before November, we’ll see something interesting from Ukraine. I don’t want to speculate too much; I’m not really into sharing vibes. I don’t think vibe-based analysis holds much value. Analysis should be based on arguments and facts, not vibes... I expect some offensive actions from Ukraine before November of this year. And the F-16s will surely be able to support these actions

Did not come true October 31, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November

Almost came true October 31, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

The advisor to the acting governor of the Kursk region has urged all residents of Rylsk to evacuate. He predicts that this city will face the same fate as Sudzha. This means that a breakthrough by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not far off

Did not come true October 23, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Just the entire North of Israel is being shelled by Hezbollah from Lebanon... And many said that this operation is inevitable. And apparently, it really will happen (Israel's operation in Lebanon)

Completely came true September 27, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

The so-called 'bangs' are occurring in Voronezh, Belgorod, and many other regions. And apparently, there will be more of this

Completely came true August 15, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Because the Crimean Bridge was recently fully repaired. And this means that in the very near future, new strikes will be carried out on it, which will render it inoperable for cargo transport

Did not come true July 31, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

It's hard for me to imagine (That Russia will leave the northern part of the Luhansk region in exchange for the launch of the ammonia pipeline)

Unverifiable June 30, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Everything will be fine there. They will join. They will all come to an agreement (Sweden will join NATO)

Completely came true March 7, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Boris Nadezhdin will certainly be denied (He will not be allowed to participate in the presidential elections of Russia)

Completely came true February 21, 2024

Michael Nacke

ru → en

The war will end next year

Did not come true December 31, 2023

Michael Nacke

ru → en

And I bet they won't block it (Russian troops will allow passage for grain exports)

Completely came true October 31, 2023

Michael Nacke

ru → en

Spoiler: The Sarmat will not be put into service in 2023

Did not come true September 1, 2023

Michael Nacke

ru → en

In my feeling, YouTube has about a day or two left... they will completely shut it down for all of us (In Russia)

Did not come true December 31, 2022

Michael Nacke

ru → en

With a high probability, it will be openly carried out in one form or another. I hope I'm wrong (About mobilization in Russia)

Completely came true September 21, 2022