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Michael Nacke

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As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November

Almost came true October 31, 2024

Notes and references
1) Michael Nacke https://youtu.be/5INXAOPZsqg?t=500

Params: almost came true (+5), complex (+2), careful (+0)
Final rating 7