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Some part of Iran’s political elite, I believe led by Khamenei (he is not being killed because his death could trigger a civil war), will simply agree to Israel’s terms. They have President Pezeshkian, who is quite pro-Western, and I think Khamenei will simply declare that the era of trying to destroy Israel is over, that it’s time to live normally, to make deals and all that. And that will be the end of it. But I make these assumptions based on the rational behavior of actors, which does not always reflect reality

Lately, a lot of attention has been focused on the TV channel "Yu", so I think it doesn’t have much time left, unfortunately

But I don't think the war will extend beyond 2025

Nabiullina will likely be imprisoned soon, in my view

I'll stick with my opinion for now that the Chief of the General Staff will be replaced by the end of the year (Referring to Valery Gerasimov, the Chief of the General Staff of Russia)

Poor Markaryan. What a fool. Of course. There's not a single reason not to jail him (In response to the question: "Do you think he'll be jailed?" (Arsen Markaryan))

I am ready to bet money, or anything, that we will not see Leonid Nevzlin outside of Israel in the coming years

I don't rule it out—in fact, I believe it's a very likely scenario—that we will see the United States involved in some kind of armed conflict, not in Ukraine, but near its own neighbors or somewhere else. I think it will happen. And I also think it will be a loud fiasco

The passivity of Russians... I wouldn't expect that when the Armed Forces of Ukraine enter the territory of Crimea, everyone will take up arms and start fighting

My position has not changed since 2022. The moment NATO says that we are taking Ukraine and we are entering this conflict right now, closing the sky and so on, Russia will retreat, right at that moment, because Vladimir Putin always retreats before a force he considers greater than himself... Russia will not fight NATO now, because the forces are not comparable. Russia will be wiped out in an instant... As soon as NATO says that we are truly getting involved, Russia will withdraw its troops from Ukraine within a day

Having learned to live without Russian hydrocarbons, Europe is unlikely to return to them

Most likely, as soon as Leonid Nevzlin appears on European territory, where he used to love to travel, he will be arrested

I consider this policy to be misguided. I believe that America misunderstands its own security. I think that the 2,500 Abrams tanks standing in the desert, which are idle, can simply be handed over to Ukraine without any thought, because this is the last war in which such tanks are used. If tanks are to be used further, they will be a completely different design, a completely different weaponry

It seems to me that Ukraine will become a weapons center in Europe after winning the war. Even now, a huge number of manufacturing facilities are being opened there... As far as I understand, underground factories are being built

In short, pay attention. Kadyrov declares blood vengeance, and very strange events begin to happen in Ingushetia or with individuals connected to Ingushetia. It seems Kadyrov will continue gaining momentum because no one is stopping or restraining him... The explosion in the Caucasus is not just looming on the horizon, it feels like the situation is already starting to detonate. I think it's becoming obvious to many (Figuratively speaking: "explosion" and "detonation" refer to the intensification of tensions, not literal physical events)

So far, current and former military personnel have not yet joined these confrontations. But I think that moment isn’t far off. And when that happens, a real bloodbath will begin... Even if the country’s leadership changes tomorrow, Russia withdraws troops from Ukraine, and so on, there will still be bloodshed—perhaps on a smaller scale, more controlled, but it will happen nonetheless. Maybe I’m wrong, and let’s hope that’s the case

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III

Putin has many problems. But the scenario he desires most is for the U.S. to stop helping Ukraine altogether. In that case, Putin expects the situation to become easier for him. At the same time, he’s probably ready to consider a freeze, but he wants the terms of the freeze to be as favorable to him as possible. Ideally, he would want all four regions that are now included in the Russian Constitution, including the cities of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, which Ukraine will never agree to under any circumstances

I think Vladimir Putin doesn’t want to risk launching an Oreshnik at Kyiv... I believe Vladimir Putin is unlikely to risk striking Kyiv

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will

We’re waiting for a drone swarm. I’m sure that during this war, we’ll see one. Sooner or later, we’ll definitely witness a swarm of drones. Air defense is in no way capable of withstanding a massive attack targeting one or several objectives, carried out by a hundred or two hundred drones. I believe Ukraine already has such capabilities — or will have them soon

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If someone said to me, "Michael, place a bet — who will win, Trump or Musk?" I’d say, of course, Musk

It's hard to imagine that the Belarusian army will participate in this war

Zero... it's impossible to imagine (The likelihood that Russia will reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk region)

Personally, I believe that no, he will not use nuclear weapons under any circumstances (About Putin)

100% this will not happen. Absolutely certain... there will be no capture of Kharkiv (By Russia)

I have no doubts that after the war ends, Ukraine will be in both the European Union and NATO