Andrey Piontkovsky
Political expert, mathematician (Russia)
Andrey Piontkovsky
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I predict the war will end in two months (The war in Ukraine)
Did not come true October 18, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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I can say with confidence that in the coming days, Erdogan and Aliyev will make a statement expressing concern for the safety of the 30 million Azerbaijani population in this chaotic situation
Did not come true June 30, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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Israel is counting on a long timeframe — up to two weeks. Of course, in one form or another, either the physical elimination of these ayatollahs or something else. I believe the regime in Iran will change within those two weeks
Did not come true June 29, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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The proposal to cease fire will be rejected. This false narrative about continuing negotiations will be put forward (Russia will reject the ceasefire proposal in Istanbul)
Completely came true May 20, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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One accurate prediction can be made: Trump's ceasefire proposal will not work in 24 hours, 100 days, or 3 months. Because Putin has already clearly stated what he wants. He wants conditions that severely limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, restrict its ability to make independent decisions in foreign and defense policy, and give him the opportunity at any moment, within a few months, to repeat his aggression under the pretext of Russia’s security guarantees
Completely came true May 10, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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In early February, Trump will be forced to acknowledge that he does not, and cannot, have a peace plan for a freeze supported by both Ukraine and Russia. This is already evident
Did not come true February 25, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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I assure you, the crazy Tulsi Gabbard won’t make it through the nomination either
Did not come true February 12, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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Military actions will not stop within three months, because all these scenarios we’re running through in our heads will also be running through the minds of decision-makers in Washington, Moscow, and Kyiv. Since there are still no solutions that satisfy everyone, I can firmly say that a freeze is not in store for us in the next three months
Completely came true February 12, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months
Did not come true February 8, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East
Did not come true January 21, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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I know that Erdogan will demand his price... he will demand that Putin withdraw from Syria... And Putin will abandon Assad
Completely came true December 15, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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I am now for the first time today confident that Harris will win the elections
Did not come true November 6, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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The primaries will take place, they will unanimously choose Biden, and in August he will ceremoniously hand over his votes to the governor of California
Did not come true August 22, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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The CSTO certainly won't lift a finger (Regarding the military conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia in September 2022)
Completely came true August 1, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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We all understand that Yashin will not serve 8 and a half years
Completely came true August 1, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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Removal after the liberation of Kherson. The removal of Putin from power... they will remove him with the wording: "Comrade Putin is ill, he cannot fulfill his duties, and he is transferring his responsibilities to the collective body of the Security Council"
Did not come true July 31, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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He will never be nominated for Republican president again (Donald Trump)
Did not come true July 19, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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No, it won't survive (Answer to the question: "Will the Putin regime last until then?" (until July 1, 2023))
Did not come true July 1, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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A week for the attempt to free the hostages. Two weeks for the complete elimination of Hamas. And the fourth week – well, to address the issue with the sponsors... a month (Regarding the timeline of Israel's war against Hamas)
Did not come true June 30, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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The next Minister of Defense will be Surovikin
Did not come true May 12, 2024Andrey Piontkovsky
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I assure you, Iran's nuclear potential will be destroyed this year
Did not come true December 31, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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Well, either in the last days of October 2022 or in the summer of 2023 (Answer to the question: "When will the war between Russia and Ukraine end?")
Did not come true October 1, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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I don't think Putin will go to Turkey (In August 2023. What Erdogan announced)
Completely came true September 1, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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We know that Prigozhin is a scoundrel, a criminal, a war criminal, and will be executed (Evgeniy Prigozhin will be executed)
Completely came true August 23, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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He will not be arrested. He may be taken in handcuffs to the judge and placed under house arrest (About Donald Trump in the near future)
Completely came true June 20, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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I am sure that there will be no parade on May 9 (In Moscow)
Did not come true May 9, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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I will risk being wrong in my predictions again. I somehow doubt that Xi will come to Moscow on March 21
Did not come true March 21, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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Most likely, in a week or two, when the ground freezes, the offensive of the Ukrainian troops will begin
Did not come true February 8, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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My prediction is that we will receive this in January (The U.S. or the British will provide Ukraine with tanks or long-range missiles in January 2023)
Almost came true January 31, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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I think that in the coming days we will see one of two events: either Putin will force Lukashenko to send his troops to Ukraine, or he will be removed from power
Did not come true January 26, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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I will take the risk to make a prediction... and we will see Leopard tanks (Germany will transfer Leopard tanks to Ukraine)
Completely came true January 25, 2023Andrey Piontkovsky
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The Crimean Bridge is being destroyed, Kherson is being liberated. After that, of course, Putin will be removed from power
Did not come true December 31, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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The capture of Kherson... this is the end of the war, this is victory, this is the collapse of the front and the entire Putin system (If Ukraine deoccupies Kherson)
Did not come true December 31, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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As for the missiles with a range of 300... they will be transferred in the near future regardless (About the supply of long-range missiles to Ukraine by the Americans)
Did not come true December 31, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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Final. Brazil vs. France, of course (FIFA World Cup 2022)
Did not come true December 18, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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I don't think he will come (Putin at the G20 in 2022)
Completely came true November 16, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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They could really win the elections... in the best-case scenario for the Republicans, there will be a majority of ten people from the Republicans
Completely came true November 11, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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From a military point of view, the surrender of Kherson is inevitable (Russia will leave Kherson)
Completely came true November 11, 2022Andrey Piontkovsky
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I think that a preliminary step towards an offensive on Kherson will be a strike on the Crimean Bridge (Ukraine will first strike the Crimean Bridge and then begin the de-occupation of the Kherson region)
Completely came true November 10, 2022