Andrey Piontkovsky
Political expert, mathematician (Russia)
Andrey Piontkovsky
ru → en
Eighty-eight senators are co-authors of the resolution demanding harsh secondary sanctions and 500% tariffs against buyers of Russian oil... Senator Wicker stated that Trump asked the Senate to hold off until the end of this week. So this issue should be resolved next week. And after yesterday’s statements by Thune and Jackson, I have no doubt that the resolution will be adopted
Awaiting results June 30, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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Europe is making some plans to build an army by 2028–2029. But there will be no 2028–2029. Everything will be decided in the summer of 2025. Either Ukraine will be broken and Europe will be left helpless and defenseless in the face of Russian aggression, or the situation will turn 180 degrees through massive arms supplies and the deployment of its own troops and pilots — and then a political crisis will emerge in Moscow
Awaiting results August 31, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
ru → en
Netanyahu's domestic political situation is difficult. I think he will take a historic step — without waiting for or asking Trump's permission, he will launch a strike on Israel (He misspoke — from the context, it’s clear that he meant "on Iran," not "on Israel.")
Awaiting results December 4, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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It is clear that the negotiations will lead nowhere. Putin will demand the five regions that Witkoff is already offering him. They will end. New approaches will be needed. Trump will most likely step away from this topic, losing interest in it. This is where China will step onto the stage with much stronger leverage
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Andrey Piontkovsky
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A very important question will be preliminarily decided in Washington: Will the United States sell its weapons to European allies? I believe it will. Trump won’t be able to stand against the entire political establishment
Awaiting results December 31, 2026Andrey Piontkovsky
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If the defeat in the midterm elections is crushing, then he won’t make it to the end of the term (In response to the question: "In your opinion, will Trump serve out his full term?")
Awaiting results December 31, 2029Andrey Piontkovsky
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Ukraine will never agree to this (To capitulation due to pressure from partners over the threat of the destruction of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Israel will not allow this; it will eliminate this nuclear threat. But that's not even the worst thing that will happen to Iran (Israel will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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He will never go to Moscow (Kadyrov will not be appointed to a new position in Moscow)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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I still believe that this will not happen (Destruction by explosion of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Crimea is likely to be liberated sooner than Donbas
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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This was his last summit (The 2022 G20 summit for Putin)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Half of the Belarusian army will switch sides on the first day (If Belarus enters the war)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Both Skabeeva and Simonyansha will definitely be sent, if not to The Hague, then to Mariupol (Russian TV hosts Olga Skabeeva and Margarita Simonyan will be tried)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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We will see him... Lugovoy is a member of the State Duma... and But will follow the same path (Viktor Bout will become a member of the State Duma of the Russian Federation)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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When the offensive fails—he hasn’t taken either Kramatorsk or Sloviansk, and never will—the Coalition of Will, of which Ukraine is a member, will face the question: what to do next? (The Russian army will never take Sloviansk or Kramatorsk)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Neither Merz nor Cramer has called and never will call Putin (By "Cramer," it likely means Keir Starmer)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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I am confident that the British will do this to show who the true leader of the free world is and the real defender of Ukraine (They will provide Ukraine with long-range weapons)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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The Iranian mullahs will probably leave the political arena even before Putin
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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I think that the first city to be liberated will be Bakhmut (Ukraine will liberate Bakhmut first)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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These stupid restrictions... so that they don't strike Russian territory with their long-range missiles... I am sure that all restrictions will be lifted (Restrictions for Ukraine)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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Nothing will change in the support for Ukraine (The victory of the Republicans in the U.S. elections)
Awaiting resultsAndrey Piontkovsky
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The most important event today is the American aircraft carrier group... This means that Hezbollah will not act (Against Israel)
Awaiting results