Stanislav Belkovsky
Political analyst, blogger (Russia)
Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
Right now, there is a vote underway for which object will appear on the new 500-ruble Russian banknote. And Mount Elbrus is competing with Grozny-City. I think Grozny-City will win the vote
Did not come true October 16, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
Something tells me that Musk is now going to try to initiate the arrest of Soros father and son
Did not come true October 3, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
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This is related to the anticipation of the presidential elections in Ukraine. It is already clear that the elections will take place within the next six months at most
Did not come true August 28, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
As before, I still believe that the resources for continuing high-intensity combat operations are not unlimited for either side — neither for the aggressor, the Russian Federation, nor for the defending Ukraine. Therefore, I still maintain my opinion that in the first half of this year, a ceasefire agreement, under one scenario or another, will be reached
Did not come true June 30, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
The negotiations on May 15 are expected to fall through, since Putin will not attend talks with Zelensky
Almost came true May 15, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
No, I don’t think anything will happen (In response to the question: "Will anything happen during the parade on May 9, or not?" — referring to possible Ukrainian strikes on Moscow and the May 9 parade)
Completely came true May 9, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
I think that, since Biden is currently president and the Democrats are in power, they will do everything they can to prevent unrest in advance. Back then, the unrest was partly fueled by the fact that the sitting president, Trump, was relatively lenient towards it. Even if he didn’t openly support it, he at least stirred the pot (Referring to possible unrest that could occur after the U.S. presidential elections)
Unverifiable January 21, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
I believe that by Trump’s inauguration, and as a gift for the inauguration, the war in Lebanon—Israel’s war with Hezbollah—will be concluded
Completely came true January 20, 2025Stanislav Belkovsky
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It seems that the terrorist attack in Crocus will be used by the Kremlin to lift the moratorium on the death penalty in Russia
Did not come true December 31, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius, who is most likely to be the Social Democratic Party's candidate for chancellor in the upcoming elections, replacing Olaf Scholz
Did not come true December 15, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
Permission to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons of Euro-Atlantic origin... I believe that this permission will be granted, that’s my prediction. Perhaps in a more limited, compromise form—allowing strikes with British-American Storm Shadow missiles and French SCALP missiles, but not with American ATACMS (Permission for Ukraine)
Completely came true November 21, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
I don't think it will work (To overthrow Maia Sandu)
Completely came true November 15, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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He will not go to prison (Donald Trump (presumably before the elections))
Completely came true November 6, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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I don't think the deep state in America will allow him to run in the elections (About Trump)
Did not come true November 6, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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I think that Maia Sandu will remain president. But this victory cannot be considered convincing
Completely came true November 4, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
I think that America will grant permission to use British and French missiles, namely Storm Shadow and Scalp, while refraining from using ATACMS (Permission for Ukraine to strike with this weapon on the territory of Russia)
Did not come true October 31, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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A very unpopular and very unprofitable decision for Putin, he will have to go for a new partial mobilization if the war cannot be stopped in the next month
Did not come true October 31, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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I can't really imagine a pair of Joseph Biden and Donald Trump in the final of 2024
Almost came true July 21, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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The accession will still happen (About the accession of Finland and Sweden to NATO)
Completely came true March 7, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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But based on indirect signs, it seems to me that the matter will not reach the registration of Boris Borisovich (About Boris Nadezhdin)
Completely came true February 21, 2024Stanislav Belkovsky
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No, I think that this time she won't return to Russia... she won't be in Russia in the foreseeable future (Ksenia Sobchak)
Did not come true November 7, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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No, I don't think Biden will do that (To recognize Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism)
Completely came true September 12, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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And from the perspective of a potential march on Odesa, if it happens, it will not happen in the near future (About the march of Russian troops on Odesa)
Completely came true September 2, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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But he will not remove Sergei Shoigu, for example... or Gerasimov in the near future (Putin)
Completely came true June 14, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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The war will last until spring (Until spring 2023)
Did not come true May 30, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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In the coming weeks, there is likely to be no 'major' offensive (Regarding Russia's 'big' offensive)
Completely came true May 28, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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I believe that the deal will be extended (Grain deal)
Completely came true March 31, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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Sergey Shoigu, the Minister of Defense of Russia, who, according to some reports, is out of favor with Putin, which, however, does not mean his quick resignation
Completely came true March 2, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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Dozhd will be relocated to a more loyal country (The Dozhd TV channel (TV Rain))
Completely came true January 31, 2023Stanislav Belkovsky
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But of course, this will eventually happen, if not today, then tomorrow (The introduction of a price cap on Russian gas)
Completely came true December 22, 2022Stanislav Belkovsky
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Everything is being prepared for the surrender of Kherson (Russia will leave Kherson)
Completely came true November 11, 2022Stanislav Belkovsky
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The probability that the Democrats will lose the upcoming series of elections is quite high
Completely came true November 8, 2022Stanislav Belkovsky
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The 8th package of sanctions from the European Union... the U.S., the U.K., Japan... will be adopted in September if Russia attempts to annex the occupied territories... and will include a ban on issuing Schengen visas regardless of anything
Did not come true October 6, 2022Stanislav Belkovsky
ru → en
The likelihood of this is quite high... it all depends on the situation at the front... under the threat of a successful counteroffensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they will be postponed (On the likelihood of holding so-called referendums)
Completely came true September 30, 2022