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Right now, there is a vote underway for which object will appear on the new 500-ruble Russian banknote. And Mount Elbrus is competing with Grozny-City. I think Grozny-City will win the vote

I think that in the end, Kommersant will end up with the Kovalchuks. This will happen sooner rather than later

I think the war will stop in 2025. This isn't about my ability to predict, but rather based on an analysis of the resources available to each side. These resources are depleting, and the war will have to be stopped one way or another

In 2025, the presidential election will take place. It will happen one way or another because it’s no longer possible to delay it further (In Ukraine)

It seems that in 2025, Saudi Arabia will join the Abraham Accords, and this, in itself, will become a key guarantee of peace in the Middle East

I believe there will be a certain degree of distancing now, but not total, not fatal, because the set of arguments in favor of their alliance hasn’t been exhausted yet. They will move closer or further apart depending on how useful or harmful Trump considers Musk to be at any given moment

Well, perhaps some very nominal figure, like Zhoga—meaning a 'desk veteran' who hasn't seen much fighting and clearly understands the party line. Naturally, no veterans of the Special Military Operation will be allowed into positions of power. The Kremlin would view them more as a dangerous, destructive force (In response to the question: "Will any SMO veteran be featured as one of the main driving forces in the upcoming campaign?")

In practice, there will be a Korean scenario with a freezing of hostilities along the front line, as I see no alternatives to this (Speaking about the war in Ukraine)

There will be no complete ban on abortions, in my opinion—knock on wood, I hope I don’t jinx it. Because, knowing Vladimir Vladimirovich’s psychology, we understand that he is a cautious person in this regard. He will not take measures that would be extremely unpopular among broad segments of his own electorate, especially among female voters. Therefore, any abortion restrictions will be very moderate

The Russian Federation cannot remain in its current form... I give this regime 3-4 years

And I think that the militarization of Europe — the increase in defense spending, if not up to 5% of GDP, then at least to 3.5% — will lead to certain shifts in this area, particularly to an increase in the retirement age

I think Europe will come to deregulating artificial intelligence now, simply because otherwise it won't be able to effectively prepare for war with the Russian Federation

In my opinion, Trump will not withdraw from NATO, but he will strongly pressure Europe to increase military spending to 5% of GDP, which is absolutely impossible

Erdogan is clearly working on the problem of staying in power forever. How he plans to do this legally is already clear. He said so yesterday. He stated that Turkey urgently needs a new constitution. This means that a new constitution will be adopted within the next two years, and there will be a “reset” — allowing him to run for office again in 2028 (The term “reset” was widely used in Russia as a mechanism for constitutional change that allowed Putin to remain president starting in 2024 due to the implementation of the revised constitution)

Something tells me that Trump is planning to run for another term, despite the relevant amendment to the U.S. Constitution

I've become convinced that a probable year for an invasion of Taiwan used to be considered 2027. But now, I think it will be 2029 at the earliest. This is because it shouldn't happen while Trump is in office, so he can say, "This war wouldn't have happened on my watch."

The offensive on Kyiv from the territory of Belarus is a bluff

I believe that the persecution of Telegram is not over. It is just beginning

He can remain in France, where he is not in any danger in the coming years while the judicial investigation is ongoing (Pavel Durov)

Yes, to local uprisings, especially in a social context, but not to a nationwide rebellion. The regime, in this sense, is quite resilient, including from the perspective of the law enforcement apparatus (Answer to the question: "Well, is there, in your opinion, purely theoretically, something that could lead to a popular uprising?" (In Russia))

Absolutely. Because that’s a way to shield himself from the future (In response to the remark: "As long as Putin is in power, will there be the war?")

One of the ideas I proposed for Middle East peace, which should lead to the creation of a Palestinian state. Whatever Bibi Netanyahu and his supporters may say now, he himself understands perfectly well that this is unavoidable. The only questions are the timing, the format, and the nature of the Palestinian state entity

Alexander Dmitrievich Beglov is directly a protégé of the Kovalchuks. Whether he is a popular governor or not, whether he fulfills his duties or not, is completely irrelevant. He suits the Kovalchuks. And as long as that’s the case, which is likely to remain so forever, he will remain the governor of Saint Petersburg

Ramzan Akhmatovich has long been building backup airfields in the territories of the Sunni monarchies of the Persian Gulf... But I don't think he plans to relocate there for the sake of his own security

Direct negotiations can only begin under a ceasefire (Between Russia and Ukraine)

I still believe that two major figures dominate the political stage — Zelensky and Valerii Fedorovych Zaluzhnyi. And only one of them, not both, will run for president

I'm sure there will be no human settlement on Mars... A robot base is a more realistic scenario

I have no doubt that the US and its allies will deliver a powerful strike on Russian territory (In response to the question: "What will happen next if Russia does use tactical nuclear weapons against Ukraine?")

It is well known that Putin will not lift the moratorium on the death penalty. Because the death penalty in modern Russia has been outsourced. If someone needs to be executed, it is not the state, the courts, or the investigators who handle it, but specially trained individuals

They won't ban Telegram. I think they'll ban WhatsApp, but not Telegram. There are just so many high-value clients on Telegram (In Russia)

The fates of the AfD and the National Rally are fundamentally different—the AfD will not be in power

There will not be a global nuclear conflict

In the end, it’s heading toward their confiscation (Referring to the 300 billion in frozen Russian assets)

The Maidan seems to me the least likely scenario... our people are not ready to take to the streets and overthrow the government (Answer to the question: 'What is the likelihood of a Maidan in Russia?' (The likelihood of a large popular protest))

In my opinion, there will not be a second wave of mobilization in Russia as a formally organized event (Regarding the second wave of mobilization)

The closest associates of Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin will come to power (After Putin)

Therefore, mobilization is doomed to fail... mass mobilization is impossible

Analyzing the threats of a nuclear explosion at the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, which, in my opinion, will certainly not happen, my prediction is that nothing like this can occur

It is zero (About the likelihood of Putin carrying out a special operation on the territory of Georgia and Kazakhstan)

It is clear that no country in the CSTO, except for Belarus, will participate in any aggression against Ukraine; this is out of the question

I don't think there will be a direct exchange of all Azov prisoners for Russian prisoners of war

There will be trials on the territory of the DPR... and then, when the process is completed and the so-called Nazis from Azov possibly receive death sentences, Vladimir Putin will be able to show the world his unique mercy and pardon someone for an exchange

Vladimir Vladimirovich will not succeed in defeating the American-centric world (About Putin)

Yes, of course (Will the mobilization be accompanied by measures such as border closures? (Second mobilization in Russia))

It seems that exercises on disabling VPNs have just taken place... I think this is the next step (VPNs will be blocked in Russia)

For some reason, everyone has decided that they are going to disable Telegram specifically. But it seems to me that they are not going to disable Telegram, or at least it won't be the first one to be targeted (In Russia)

Elon Musk will not join Trump's administration (If Trump wins the election)