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Ranking Predictions Authors

Yuri Fedorov

Military expert (Russia, Czech Republic)


Predictions
36
Verified
16
Came true
69%
Rating
5.81

New Awaiting Verified

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

During this year's summer campaign, I'm not sure that Russian forces will be able to accomplish the tasks set before them and create any significant buffer zone 10–15–20 km deep and stretching along the entire border of the Sumy region — no, that's unlikely

Completely came true September 17, 2025

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

There will be no ceasefire before the beginning of summer. Putin does not want this

Completely came true June 1, 2025

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

If the pace of the offensive does not change—and, generally speaking, I personally see no reason to believe it will, referring to the Russian offensive—then, in the foreseeable future, meaning within a few months, it is clear that Putin will not achieve one of his most politically significant goals (In the coming months, the Russian army will not push the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the Kursk region)

Did not come true March 31, 2025

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Until the end of the autumn campaign, which is about a month from now, Russian forces will likely continue advancing. It appears that a significant part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) will be pushed out of the Kursk region, although perhaps not completely. At least, all recent trends seem to point in this direction

Almost came true December 11, 2024

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Honestly, I don’t think there will be permission (In response to the question: "What do you think will happen with the permission regarding long-range missiles?" (Will the U.S. grant permission for Ukraine to use long-range missiles on Russian territory?))

Did not come true November 21, 2024

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I don't think so (The answer to the question: 'How necessary are strikes deep into the territory (of Russia) beyond the 100 km zone for the Armed Forces of Ukraine right now... Do you think that before the elections in the USA, before the beginning of November, such permission from Washington to Kyiv could be obtained?')

Completely came true November 5, 2024

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

There are every reason to believe that in the next few days, or perhaps a week, this area south of the Seym River (which is essentially squeezed between the Seym River to the north and the border of the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the east) will come under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (Part of the territory of the Kursk region of Russia)

Did not come true October 10, 2024

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Now these explosions of pagers and other devices. I think it's not a coincidence that they happened... the fact that they occurred indicates that the war is about to start in earnest (The war between Israel and Hezbollah)

Completely came true September 27, 2024

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think that this is practically impossible (For the Armed Forces of Ukraine to advance from the right bank of the Dnieper to the left bank in the area of Kherson)

Completely came true November 13, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think they will give them. There are certain considerations here (Response to the question: "So, Yuri Evgenyevich, do you think they will provide ATACMS?")

Completely came true October 18, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

The only thing that can currently unite the FSB, the army, and the civilian bureaucracy is the desire to remove Prigozhin. He will be removed. He will die in a car accident or some other unfortunate situation

Completely came true August 23, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Will the Russians be able to reach the border of the Donetsk region in the foreseeable future or not... I actually think they won't, at least not in the near future

Completely came true July 27, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Well, I think that sooner or later something similar to what happened on October 10 will happen again, yes. Some kind of explosion occurred (Referring to the fact that the Crimean (Kerch) Bridge will be damaged again. The previous incident was not on the 10th, but on the 8th of October)

Completely came true July 17, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I don't think that the Armed Forces of Ukraine can reach Luhansk this fall or winter

Completely came true May 31, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

But even if we assume that Bakhmut will be taken... which is itself unlikely

Did not come true May 30, 2023

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

The very idea of a referendum in the Kherson region has failed... There will be no such referendum

Did not come true September 30, 2022