screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Yuri Fedorov

Military expert (Russia, Czech Republic)


Predictions
36
Verified
16
Came true
69%
Rating
5.81

New Awaiting Verified

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think one could choose the option "will give in the coming days" (Will Trump give Tomahawks to Ukraine? The four options are: 1) Yes, will give in the coming days 2) Yes, but in months, or even years 3) Will promise, but won't give 4) Won't give and will stop promising. Which option would you choose, Yury Evgenyevich?)

Awaiting results November 15, 2025

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Russian forces clearly will not be able to cross the Dnipro. This operation is too difficult for them

Awaiting results December 31, 2026

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think that the idea of storming Kharkiv or advancing towards Kyiv is not the most realistic idea. However, such an idea could be promoted by the Russian authorities as disinformation (There will not be a storming of Kharkiv by Russia)

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

No, I don't think so (Response to the question: 'Will Putin be able to convince Europe... NATO, the States... to achieve Minsk 3.0?')

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I also assume that this will happen, and it will most likely happen sooner or later (The answer to the question: 'Why doesn't the Armed Forces of Ukraine occupy the Glushkovsky district (of the Kursk region)?')

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

The point of taking Pokrovsk would be to launch operations from there... if they ever manage to take it, which I highly doubt (The Russian army is unlikely to capture Pokrovsk)

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Answer to the question: Will there be a mobilization? My answer is: most likely, yes — because the generals are persistent people, and for Putin, Ukraine is the main enemy, something that must be destroyed. And as for the people, the National Guard and the valiant security services will take care of them

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

After the strike on Russian airbases, Russia probably has, at most, 50 operational carriers left, including Tu-160 bombers — which the Russians are unlikely to risk using in the war against Ukraine. Well, it's hard to say

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think it will end; I am confident it will end with a victory for Ukraine

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

North Korea's air force is incredibly weak, it's practically nonexistent. In the event of a war with South Korea, their air force would be destroyed within the first few hours

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Taking this city is certainly impossible (For the Russian army to take Mykolaiv)

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

No, I don't think there will be a Serbian-Kosovo war... The Serbs really want to join the European Union

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

The first direction is Kharkiv. Of course, the city will not be taken

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

I think that a confrontation with NATO will end very badly for Russia

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

Yes, we assume so (That the third defeat for Russia (after the de-occupation of the Kharkiv region and Kherson) will be Melitopol)

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

To be honest, I doubt that Putin will announce mobilization (What do you think, will mobilization be announced or will Putin avoid it again? (The second mobilization in Russia))

Awaiting results

Yuri Fedorov

ru → en

And such an operation, if it turns out to be successful, will indeed be successful. Because one special forces unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is enough to accomplish this task, which is the elimination of the Russian military presence, the Russian military grouping (If the Armed Forces of Ukraine want to, they will be able to eliminate the Russian military grouping in Transnistria)

Awaiting results