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In the case of the German elections, everything is clear and straightforward at the moment. If there are no unforeseen events, the Christian Democrats will win, and they’ll win with a significant lead

For various reasons, including Lukashenko's age, health, and general questions about the mechanism of power transfer, these elections will most likely be the last presidential elections in Lukashenko's career

I think Lukashenko’s minimum goal is to show a better result than Putin did in his elections, meaning it has to be over 87%. I believe he will even aim for 90%, and I think they will easily fabricate that 90% for him without much trouble