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Alexander Friedman

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I think Lukashenko’s minimum goal is to show a better result than Putin did in his elections, meaning it has to be over 87%. I believe he will even aim for 90%, and I think they will easily fabricate that 90% for him without much trouble

Almost came true January 27, 2025

Notes and references
1) "Razvorot" https://youtu.be/zPfA0nkICPI?t=5238

Params: almost came true (+5), regular (+0), careful (+0)
Final rating 5