Vyacheslav Shiryaev
Economic Observer (Russia)
Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
And where are they going to suddenly get hundreds of billions? They wanted to cut the Pentagon’s budget. Remember, it all started with Vance’s statements — like, “let’s cut Pentagon spending by almost half.” They won’t be allowed to cut the Pentagon’s budget. It’ll be just like with Kennedy
Completely came true October 3, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context
Completely came true September 24, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
And it seems to me that after Iran, Trump’s rhetoric toward the Kremlin and the war in Ukraine will change very dramatically
Did not come true September 17, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region
Completely came true September 3, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
There are no grounds for the ruble to strengthen. Only a trend toward weakening
Did not come true September 3, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
There is no deal with Trump and there won't be one. I don't expect any new visits from Witkoff to Moscow in the near future; there definitely won't be any
Did not come true August 6, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
This is simply a reason for the bulls to push prices up. They managed to do that. This is a temporary phenomenon. I, of course, expect a response from Iran — Shahed drones will fly, they already seem to be flying, missiles will be launched from Iran toward Israel, but I do not expect any catastrophes with oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Therefore, for 2-3 days everything will fluctuate at high levels, and then from Monday everything will drop unless there is some kind of nuclear escalation (Oil prices, which surged due to Israel’s strike on Iran, will start to decline from Monday)
Almost came true June 25, 2025Vyacheslav Shiryaev
ru → en
I expect a devaluation of the ruble over the May holidays
Did not come true May 15, 2025