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It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East

Honestly, I think the question is certainly not about decades, I think it will happen in the next 3-5 years (Answer to the question: "Has your forecast for the timing of regime changes in Russia changed? In how many years or decades will liberalization be possible in Russia?")

Iran is a more problematic story. Iran could probably strike at Israel. But after that, of course, there will be no Iran

From the West's perspective, the worst-case scenario is the use of nuclear weapons. It is clear that even the use of tactical weapons would prompt the West to respond by destroying Moscow, St. Petersburg, and so on (If Russia uses nuclear weapons)

It seems absolutely clear to me that there will be no repetition of the Stalinist model in post-Putin Russia. That doesn’t mean there will be liberals, I repeat. Most likely, it will be some kind of KGB-style junta with no legitimacy. And in that sense, it may become even more repressive for a certain period of time (After Putin’s departure, power in Russia is more likely to be taken by a "KGB-style junta" rather than a liberal democracy)

It seems to me that no (Answer to the question, can Putin use nuclear weapons?)