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Honestly, I think the question is certainly not about decades, I think it will happen in the next 3-5 years (Answer to the question: "Has your forecast for the timing of regime changes in Russia changed? In how many years or decades will liberalization be possible in Russia?")

It seems absolutely clear to me that there will be no repetition of the Stalinist model in post-Putin Russia. That doesn’t mean there will be liberals, I repeat. Most likely, it will be some kind of KGB-style junta with no legitimacy. And in that sense, it may become even more repressive for a certain period of time (After Putin’s departure, power in Russia is more likely to be taken by a "KGB-style junta" rather than a liberal democracy)

It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East

Putin urgently needs to end this war. I think he needs to wait a few months. And we will see how gradually he will start to roll back... Apparently, he will manage to retain at least Donbas for some time, and the question of Crimea will likely be postponed. But Putin will begin to roll back

Iran is a more problematic story. Iran could probably strike at Israel. But after that, of course, there will be no Iran

Well, to be honest, I think there will be no mobilization in the winter, for the simple reason that there is currently neither ammunition nor weapons... 150,000 are in training camps... so there will be no mobilization in the winter... rather, they will train these 150,000 people

What elections in 2024 can we talk about? He won't live to see them... the situation will explode much sooner (About Putin)

It seems to me that no (Answer to the question, can Putin use nuclear weapons?)

From the West's perspective, the worst-case scenario is the use of nuclear weapons. It is clear that even the use of tactical weapons would prompt the West to respond by destroying Moscow, St. Petersburg, and so on (If Russia uses nuclear weapons)