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I predict that Donald Trump will hold off on imposing sanctions for now — Ukraine’s attack on the aircraft will give him a reason to claim that neither side wants peace (Sanctions against Russia)

Forecast: I believe that the Russian side will agree to a 30-day ceasefire during the negotiations.

It will not be presented as a response to the ultimatum from the EU and Ukraine, but rather as an independent initiative within the framework of a desired peaceful resolution.

This is a forecast. Assessments will follow later