Alexey Naumov
ru → en
Forecast: I believe that the Russian side will agree to a 30-day ceasefire during the negotiations.
It will not be presented as a response to the ultimatum from the EU and Ukraine, but rather as an independent initiative within the framework of a desired peaceful resolution.
This is a forecast. Assessments will follow later
Notes and references
1) https://t.me/vneshpol/1627
Params: did not come true (+2), complex (+0), confident (-1)
Final rating 1