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Ranking Predictions Authors

Konstantin Sonin

Economist (Russia)


Predictions
6
Verified
2
Came true
50%
Rating
5.33

New Awaiting Verified

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I find it hard to imagine that Putin and the Putin regime will last more than two years. I think it will be something akin to the collapse of the regime of Nicholas II

Did not come true November 24, 2025

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president

Completely came true January 21, 2025