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Ranking Predictions Authors

Konstantin Sonin

Economist (Russia)


Predictions
6
Verified
1
Came true
100%
Rating
5.64

New Awaiting Verified

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president

Completely came true

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I am confident that Russia will, for many years—decades even—have to pay compensation for the destroyed Ukrainian cities, industries, and energy systems, and will have to make significant concessions to return to international trade and cooperate with other countries, at least partially. This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it

Awaiting results

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I am confident that Russia will have to withdraw its troops from the occupied territories of Ukraine... This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it

Awaiting results

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I don't believe that any of this money will return to Russia before compensation for the damage caused by the war is paid (About frozen Russian assets)

Awaiting results

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I find it hard to imagine that Putin and the Putin regime will last more than two years. I think it will be something akin to the collapse of the regime of Nicholas II

Awaiting results

Konstantin Sonin

ru → en

I don't think the war will end under Putin

Awaiting results