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Ranking Predictions Authors

Yuri Felshtinsky

Historian (USA, Russia)


Predictions
32
Verified
6
Came true
33%
Rating
4.81

New Awaiting Verified

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

The victory may be far off. However, I do not think we are talking about years. I do not see a scenario stretched over years, like the Soviet-Afghan war (Until Ukraine's victory)

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

The situation for the Russian Federation is more likely to worsen. Although we will see some sanctions lifted

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

If this war lasts until January 2026 — and I’m sure it will — then it will have lasted longer than the Great Patriotic War of the Soviet Union. A lot of people are dying, but Putin doesn’t care. And unfortunately, Ukraine has no way out

Awaiting results January 1, 2026

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I am more inclined to expect that Trump will now concede Taiwan to China

Awaiting results December 31, 2026

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I don't think that Lukashenko will live much longer

Awaiting results December 31, 2027

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

First of all, I expect that there will be an attempt to amend the U.S. Constitution to allow Trump to stay for another term

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Although I expect that at some point Trump will fire Rubio

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I am far from thinking that China will use military force in attempts to seize Taiwan

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I do not believe that Putin will leave power voluntarily

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Whoever comes to power in Russia after Putin will still be a temporary ruler and will not stay in power for long, maybe a year or two

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

And Trump's plans regarding Ukraine are perfectly clear to us... If, God forbid, Trump wins, he will abandon Ukraine... That's 100%

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I don't think this agreement will last for a long time. I believe there is skepticism about it even in Israel. Surprisingly, I think the Arab world is also skeptical about it. I believe there will, of course, be no peace in Israel

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Ukraine will not sign a capitulation under the terms proposed by Trump and Putin

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Only Moscow matters. That’s why strikes must be directed solely at Moscow — and then this war will end, and it will end very quickly. There are no other ways to stop this war

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Putin is interested in war. And for him, Ukraine is only the first stage. Europe knows this. That’s why Europe will continue to support Ukraine — it has no other choice

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Over all these years, despite the fact that Trump has managed to insult virtually every well-known political figure at least once — with or without reason — he has never said a single bad word about Putin. He hasn’t, and he won’t

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I don't know whether Russia will leave Crimea, or under what conditions it might. It will leave Crimea — it's just a matter of time

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Tens of thousands of high-ranking state security executives were shot during Stalin's time. Therefore, they are not reintroducing the death penalty because they care about the people and do not want to scare them, but because they know that they themselves will be the first to be included in the execution lists. They are doing this for their own safety, for their own selfish interests, and not for humanitarian reasons. So Mironov can certainly call for the reintroduction of the death penalty in Russia, but I do not think that will happen

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

I am far from the thought that he will deliver this strike from the territory of the Russian Federation (Nuclear strike)

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

He will end badly... I don't think he will die a natural death (Lukashenko)

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

The moment Kadyrov leaves, the Chechen Republic will certainly raise the issue of its independence

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

He will not remain in the presidential chair until the end of the war

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

When military actions will be transferred to the territory of Belarus, and they will be transferred there at some point

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

Everyone is now startled by the announcement that Poland is suspending military aid to Ukraine. But I guarantee you that Poland will not stop military assistance to Ukraine. Because Poland's military aid to Ukraine is primarily in Poland's interest, and this is well understood in Poland

Awaiting results

Yuri Felshtinsky

ru → en

No Ukrainian politician, starting with Zelensky, will be able to present the question of peace negotiations with Russia to their people without the condition of recognizing the borders of 1991

Awaiting results