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If Biden does not withdraw (from the elections), the likelihood of Trump winning is very high

What will not happen is Chinese weaponry... China will not supply weapons (To Russia)

Russia will have to pay reparations for all of this later (For the destruction caused to Ukraine)

Until Vladimir Putin returns all occupied territories and pays reparations... there will be no peace agreement (Peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine)

Next week, Xi Jinping will most likely be elected for another term

This will not happen... and as long as the war in Ukraine continues, these sanctions will not be lifted (About lifting of sanctions on Russia in exchange for the unblocking of the ports of Odesa for grain exports)

At some point, the war... will apparently turn into a protracted conflict... I don't think there is a possibility of a peace agreement; it is unlikely that Ukraine will agree to the loss of territories, and it is unlikely that Russia will agree to transfer Ukrainian lands to Ukraine

Mobilization, even if it is announced, will not be successful... Putin will not be able to carry out a mass mobilization