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Elections in Germany are coming up, and most likely Merz will win, as he is undoubtedly much more decisive

It's pointless. It's understood that YouTube is just a fraction of political information... so this will not happen (About the possible blocking of YouTube in Russia)

There will be no peace in the near future. At least, I’ll be very glad if I’m wrong (Speaking about a truce between Ukraine and Russia)

Putin’s obvious desire to regain control over the Kursk region before Trump’s inauguration is unlikely to succeed

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration

After being elected, it's not customary for American presidents to take any significant actions that lead to specific consequences. So, the likelihood of any serious moves from Biden was already low, and now it’s almost approaching zero

The war will not end this year

I think this will end very soon (That the Russian language is an official language of the UN)

So it’s most likely that this decision, if it is made—and I think it will be—will be made in February of next year (Talking about U.S. authorization for Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles)

It’s clear that Biden won’t be visiting Europe before the end of his term. At least, the likelihood of that happening is close to zero

Most likely, this will happen today, so I will cautiously say that this sensational news will occur. Today, Antony Blinken is arriving in Kyiv (The USA will allow Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to strike at Russia)

Putin will not release Navalny... there are two people that Putin will not let go. I understand that I could be wrong, but nonetheless, I have been following this for a long time. These are two personal enemies of Putin: Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza

There is no chance that any of the Western leaders will say a word for Kara-Murza and that he will be freed - this is very unlikely... A swap is extremely unlikely. People like him are not exchanged. Neither Navalny, nor Kara-Murza, nor Yashin

Still, most likely, the Republican Party will not nominate Trump (For the 2024 U.S. presidential election)

Most likely... they will return an urn with the ashes (Context: After Alexei Navalny's death, his body is not being released to relatives for a long time)

This is my prediction: he will not be allowed... My prediction is that it is most likely that Nadezhdin will be removed from the race (Boris Nadezhdin will not be allowed to participate in the presidential elections)

He is unlikely to expect that due to his attacks, Putin will remove Beglov. This is out of the question... Beglov is quite satisfactory to Putin. And of course, under such pressure, Beglov will never be dismissed... Under no circumstances will Prigozhin's actions achieve success

I think that Kadyrov will not leave (Commenting on Kadyrov's statement that he has been sitting in his position for too long)

I don't think that Prigozhin, like Kadyrov, is capable of taking any serious political position in present-day Russia... It is impossible to imagine that they would become some kind of ministers or head a federal structure

There are no chances that a complete fuel energy embargo will be imposed in the foreseeable future, even in relation to the West

The probability of being able to show the capture of Bakhmut is zero (By Russian troops)

Winter will not be a respite. If possible, they will try to advance in winter as well (Russian troops)

Putin is no longer in a position to disrupt this grain deal... the grain deal will take place without Putin, I hope for that

And he will continue the mobilization... and then in December, it’s absolutely clear that another round of mobilization will begin

Despite the predictions that it will end this year, I think that this will not happen (About the end of the war in Ukraine)

I believe that Putin's trip to Bali is extremely unlikely (At the G20)

I am not sure that there will be very fierce street battles... a significant number of occupiers will prefer to leave... Kherson is likely to be de-occupied in the coming days

Recently, Turchak stated that the referendums will be postponed to November 4, which means that they will not take place

As for the Luhansk region, the probability that this referendum will be held is quite high

I am very afraid that they will give it (Visa for Lavrov to participate in the UN General Assembly)