screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Oleg Kashin

Journalist (Russia)


Predictions
25
Verified
12
Came true
75%
Rating
6.14

New Awaiting Verified

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

As for peace, and the promised end to the Russian-Ukrainian war — which never happened and clearly won't happen anytime soon

Completely came true October 3, 2025

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

Tomorrow everyone is nervous, waiting for something — am I waiting? Who the hell knows, but I have the feeling that the real red lines are not to kill Comrade Xi or even to scare Comrade Xi. These lines are clear to the Ukrainian side, so I assume nothing will happen tomorrow, and the parade, if you watch it, will go smoothly without a hitch (Meaning that Ukraine will not attack the parade on Red Square in Moscow on May 9)

Completely came true May 10, 2025

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

I think more than three (thousand), probably. Although I also don't believe it will be a huge march (In response to the question: "I wonder how many people will come out to the rally in Berlin?" (November 17, 2024, anti-war march in Berlin led by Ilya Yashin, Vladimir Kara-Murza, and Yulia Navalnaya))

Almost came true November 18, 2024

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

I’ll whisper a guess that Ilya Yashin will either ignore your call or decline (Context: On October 11, 2024, Mikhail Svetov invited Ilya Yashin to a debate on "collective responsibility of Russians.")

Completely came true October 14, 2024

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

...a story about an offensive in which it is impossible to believe in its success (The potential counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Crimea, which was supposed to take place in 2022-2023)

Completely came true December 31, 2023

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

Well, what will Bout be? A deputy from the LDPR at best

Completely came true September 12, 2023

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

Sofia Sapega... it feels like she will serve her entire allotted sentence

Did not come true June 9, 2023

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

As far as I understand, they will ultimately leave Latvia now (TV Rain)

Completely came true January 25, 2023

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

Even in November, it will not be held (Referendums on the annexation to Russia of several occupied regions of Ukraine: Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions)

Did not come true September 30, 2022

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

It is clear that the Russian authorities and their proxy satellites probably won't have the heart to actually hang these people. Probably it will be an exchange (About the British prisoners)

Completely came true September 21, 2022

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

Although if they do exchange him, it will be for those Britons (Regarding Medvedchuk, if he is exchanged, it will be for the captured Britons)

Completely came true September 21, 2022

Oleg Kashin

ru → en

I plan to remain in my previous role as a person who still does not believe that a war, in the form of the movement of the Russian armed forces to the contact line and beyond, is possible and will occur

Did not come true February 24, 2022