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Imagine that Putin arrested Sobyanin, several million people took to the streets all over Russia, and Alexander Beglov called for the President’s resignation and early elections.

Can you picture that? That's exactly what's happening in Turkey right now.

My prediction is that Erdogan will manage to get through this time as well, but only through repressive forceful means. He either lacks the political resources to contain the crisis or is unwilling to use them

My intuition tells me that there is a very high likelihood that the same Scholz, widely known as the liverwurst, will remain in the position of Chancellor of Germany