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I bet that Musk will be devoured by Trump within the next two years

If victory is considered to be the restoration of the borders of 1991, then no, that will not happen (Ukraine will not restore its internationally recognized borders of 1991)

Putin is rejecting the idea of a new general mobilization... he does not intend to apply significant pressure

Zelensky, I think, has slightly less than zero chance of becoming the post-war president

I am not afraid of the collapse of the European Union. It seems inevitable to me, at least in the form we know it today with 27 countries. But that does not mean the end of the EU. It means that a reconfiguration will take place