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Ranking Predictions Authors

Sergey Aleksashenko

Economist (Russia)


Predictions
18
Verified
4
Came true
50%
Rating
5.21

New Awaiting Verified

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

Yes, exactly. That's why I'm saying this law won't be passed (Responding to the comment: "The first thought that comes to mind when you start thinking about Lindsey Graham's project is, what about China, what about India?")

Awaiting results December 6, 2025

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

In 2-3 years, Europe will completely refuse Russian gas

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

I can confidently state that levels of 105, 110, 120, and even 130 are ahead. But I can’t say when it will happen (Rubles per Dollar)

Awaiting results December 31, 2026

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

So far, I don't see any significant displacement of the dollar from its status as the world's primary reserve currency

Awaiting results December 31, 2027

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

A speculative financial instrument, in my understanding, with no future beyond Donald Trump's presidential term. When the rapid collapse of this Trump-coin will begin, no one knows. It could happen on the last day of Trump's presidency or midway through his term

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

I don't really understand whether this deal can actually be implemented or not. And I have serious doubts that it will even start working before the end of Donald Trump's presidential term. (The deal between the U.S. and Ukraine on rare earth metals.)

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

A huge number of Russian enterprises that benefit from the state’s monopoly protection — shielding them from competition — will lose their place under the sun. The most striking example is the Russian aircraft manufacturing corporation, which is trying to produce import-independent Superjets and MC-21s that are becoming heavy, fly short distances, and have inefficient engines. In global competition, they will lose. Such companies have no future

Awaiting results December 31, 2035

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

I think that the first years, if not decades, of Mars exploration will be carried out by robots (Speaking about building stations on Mars)

Awaiting results December 31, 2039

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

I think that after Putin, the war will stop quite quickly, if it is still ongoing by that time

Awaiting results

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

We need to monitor the reactions of Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Russia. These are three countries that are violators of the OPEC+ agreement. If they do not take any swift actions to reduce oil production and supply to the global market, I believe there is a high probability that the Saudi authorities will eventually turn the tap on and Saudi oil will flood the global market. It seems to me that this scenario is much more likely because, ultimately, all agreements within OPEC end up being violated. After that, the agreement collapses, and there is some stress in the market, prices drop quickly, after which they regroup and prices stabilize and start to rise

Awaiting results

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world (In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?")

Awaiting results

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

One shouldn’t think that if China seizes Taiwan, it will gain control of TSMC’s chip production facilities. I believe the Americans will destroy them quickly with precision strikes — China won’t get anything

Awaiting results

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

My prediction is that Putin will not be able to win this struggle, despite all efforts (In the gas "war" with Europe)

Awaiting results

Sergey Aleksashenko

ru → en

I think not (Response to the question: "Does Putin have the ability to escalate the energy crisis in Europe to the point where he can push for the opening of Nord Stream 2?)

Awaiting results