Agil Rustamzade
Military expert (Azerbaijan)
Agil Rustamzade
ru → en
But it’s clear that this war is a dead end. For both sides. Even if the supply of weapons to you increases by 40-50 percent, you’ll just keep killing them, that’s all. More killing — if you're killing 1,000 people a day now, you’ll be killing 2,000. The other side will lose its human resources, but neither side will move forward or backward. You’ll keep using up weapons and taking losses as well. This war has no prospects for either side
Awaiting resultsAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
I think there will be a very large transfer of weapons to you in Ramstein. This is to make the Russian Federation understand that it’s time to stop dragging this out (This refers to the Ukraine Defense Contact Group and its next meeting on October 12, 2024)
UnverifiableAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
I think that, most likely, before the onset of winter, the offensive pace of the Russian army will remain more or less the same. If the Ukrainian army does not significantly increase its firepower on this section of the front, then most likely there will be a battle for Pokrovsk in the fall
Awaiting resultsAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
If Biden remains, then you will most likely be fighting for another two years... but this is probably a scenario with a low probability that he will be (That Biden will be president again)
Completely came trueAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
No, no, no, I wouldn't even give that scenario 1% (In response to the question: "There are emotional swings that in 5 months we will be fighting for the Dnipro. How realistic is that?")
Completely came trueAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
And most likely, we won't see a significant increase in military aid to you until the spring offensive (From the USA)
Completely came trueAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
That pace, and an increase in that pace by 10-20 percent over the next three months, gives me cautious optimism that by the beginning of September 2024, the military capabilities of the Russian Federation will be so depleted that it will no longer pose a threat
UnverifiableAgil Rustamzade
ru → en
The war will end, at the latest, in the fall of 2023 — Russia will lose any capacity for military resistance
Did not come true