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I think Mr. Mamdani will win, and this will further strengthen the far-left camp in the Democratic Party (In the 2025 New York City mayoral election)

If nothing extraordinary happens, like a new mobilization, the year 2025 will pass quite calmly... I definitely do not foresee any failures, crises, or the dollar at 200 rubles

15 January 2020, the USA and China signed a large-scale economic reconciliation agreement, which, if implemented, would have restored their relations on a full scale... However, in the context of COVID, the Chinese ceased any attempts to implement it, and the Americans also added to the situation because Trump accused China of allowing the infection to spread... If this agreement had been restored, say, with Trump's return and improvements in his relations with Chairman Xi, perhaps history would have taken a different path. But, in my view, this now seems unlikely

I think that next year the war will end with some kind of temporary ceasefire, approximately along the current lines. The West is unlikely to be able to maintain such intense support for another year. Of course, this reflects very poorly on the West

My prediction was that the war would not end this year. I still hold the same opinion

Bank defaults will not be allowed (In Russia, in 2025)

And we’ll see a downward trend that will reach 15 percent by the New Year (Continuing from the previous statement: “The Central Bank will lower the rate at the next meeting, I believe not just to 20%, but even lower.”)

Let’s say inflation is above 15%, GDP drops by 1–1.5%, the budget is cut by 10%, and the standard of living declines. If we define that as a crisis, then the probability of it happening this year is 0%, and in the second half of next year, the probability is around 15–20% (In response to the question: “How would you assess the probability of a crisis happening this year or next?”)

I don’t see any prospects of a serious banking crisis. Let’s wait until the end of the year and do another stream like this in January 2026. As for hyperinflation — I don’t think it will happen

The sanctions have reached their limit. I don't expect them to sharply intensify, because it is very unprofitable for the West itself (Western sanctions against Russia)

Let’s say inflation is above 15%, GDP drops by 1–1.5%, the budget is cut by 10%, and the standard of living declines. If we define that as a crisis, then the probability of it happening... in the second half of next year, the probability is around 15–20% (In response to the question: “How would you assess the probability of a crisis happening this year or next?”)

He has engaged in war on multiple fronts simultaneously, which, in my opinion, is a catastrophic mistake. His actions are purely impulsive. The level of his team has turned out to be absolutely abysmal. That’s why I believe he will not last until the end of his term—and maybe he won’t even survive (Trump)

This is a significant rightward shift. In 10 years, Europe will be much further to the right politically than it is now

I could be wrong, but it seems to me that we've entered a Republican decade, lasting at least 12 years, and possibly even longer (Republicans will remain in power in the USA for the next 12 years)

The dollar is the most important tool for stabilizing the global financial system... I think that for the next 20 years, nothing will change significantly (In the next 20 years, the dollar will remain the most important element of the global financial system, and its role will not change significantly)

We strongly dislike Putin's regime, and we understand that the war will not end as long as it exists. I would completely agree with that (The war in Ukraine)

This war will not be ended by those who started it, on either side. This is a very long story (War in Ukraine)

What is victory in war? The capture of Kyiv is unrealistic

Russia's defeat in Ukraine is inevitable... which I agree with

Whoever comes after Putin... no one will talk about reparations... the West should be satisfied with what it has taken... this money will undoubtedly be confiscated for the benefit of Ukraine