screenshot

With a high degree of probability, Ukraine will refuse to participate in the negotiations in Istanbul

The new US sanctions are likely to remain in effect slightly beyond the end of January (US sanctions against Russia introduced these days)

Donald Trump naively believes that he will win the elections with just loud statements. It feels like the Republicans have no plan... Essentially, the whole world has accepted Kamala Harris's future victory. Trump's ratings will drop by 5-7% by October and by as much as 10% by the elections. It's unclear how he plans to stop this

The leaders of Ukraine (the illegitimate Zelensky and the semi-legitimate Yermak) are attempting to secure a meeting with Biden and Scholz during Biden's visit to Germany. Walter Steinmeier has already refused to meet with Zelensky, and Scholz reportedly told Yermak that he sees no point in such a meeting. However, the Ukrainian side is pushing through lobbyists and Democratic senators to pressure the White House. The chances of getting the meeting approved are minimal, and it is highly likely that Zelensky will miss out on the opportunity for this meeting

In this regard, the surprise promised by Obama for the summer is certainly related to replacing Biden with someone else, most likely Michelle Obama