screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Blogger (Russia)


Predictions
15
Verified
3
Came true
67%
Rating
5.54

New Awaiting Verified

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Trump urged Ukraine to agree to the meeting on May 15, so it seems to me that it should take place (Referring to the meeting with Russia in Istanbul on May 15)

Completely came true

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Zelensky agreed to negotiations in Istanbul but personally called on Putin to attend. It’s clear that Vladimir Putin himself will not go to the negotiations

Completely came true

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

I think he will run for re-election — for him, it’s almost a matter of life and death. The Ukrainian political landscape is quite toxic for former presidents. I believe that a lot could be held against Volodymyr Zelensky after the war ends

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

When it comes to Crimea, which clearly isn’t returning to Ukraine within the next decade

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

It seems to me that 2025 will be the last year of this war, at least of this stage. And then, a ceasefire might last until the end of Trump’s term

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Turkey is an ideal candidate for mediation. China is also a very good candidate for mediation. India, on the other hand, seems unlikely; I think it's improbable. But it's hard to predict (India is unlikely to act as a mediator in the resolution of the war in Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Telegram will not be blocked (In Russia)

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

I think that Netanyahu is not in any danger. He will survive. He will outlast the war

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

Peace negotiations are very likely. It is quite probable that some agreements will be reached or will begin to be made this year

Did not come true

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

It is most likely that a ceasefire will be reached, this conflict will be settled, and no one will pay reparations

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

He will not achieve it if the fire is stopped now (Is capturing Kyiv a victory for Putin? Is that his goal?)

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

No. Why? It's nonsense... He was imprisoned not to be sent to the front... he will be sitting... although anything can be expected... but it seems to me that Igor Ivanovich Strelkov will be in prison, and they will not let him go to the front (Answer to the question: "Do you think they will let Strelkov go to fight again?")

Awaiting results

Aleksandr Shtefanov

ru → en

I think that she won't serve 27 years, considering the possibilities of parole and appeals (About Daria Trepova)

Awaiting results