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The most likely scenario is the freezing of the conflict in one form or another

We will hold at this level of 41-42 until the end of the year. And next year, until the end of the war, the same (The exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar)

The war will end next year (It is not a direct statement, but it indirectly suggests this)

Therefore, he is very likely to be re-elected (Erdogan)