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HIMARS will soon be firing from Kherson. The approaches to Crimea are within range. This will degrade Russian defenses/LOC's while "left wing" of the counter-offensive takes Mariupol & Melitopol by January. Then begins the decisive phase of the campaign...liberation of Crimea

I believe that the logistical capabilities of Russians are deteriorating, while those of Ukrainians, on the contrary, are improving... Russian forces will collapse; there will be a culmination, which will likely happen in August... and then, in my estimation, by the end of summer, Ukrainian troops will push Russian forces back at least to the line they were at on February 23 ((This is a back translation from the voice-over translation of his words))