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Ranking Predictions Authors

Vladimir Pastukhov

Political scientist (Russia)


Predictions
9
Verified
2
Came true
100%
Rating
5.92

New Awaiting Verified

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

Why did Hess fly from Germany to the UK in his own plane and spend the rest of his time there at a guarded estate before the war? I’ve never seen a definitive answer to that question — neither what message he delivered, nor why Hitler decided to send him. I believe the answers to these questions are still stored in archives that are unlikely to be declassified anytime in the next 100–200 years

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

Most likely, if the negotiations continue at this pace for just a bit longer, two events await us: a large-scale spring-summer Russian offensive on the front lines, and the simultaneous disappearance of America from the picture

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

A civil war in Russia is unfolding in a hidden form, and its transition to an open form is practically a foregone conclusion, inevitable. I am not thinking about how to prevent it, but rather how to win it

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

My personal conviction is that, at some point, Russia will inevitably face another Caucasian war. There’s a certain irony in history, that what this regime began with is what it will ultimately end with

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

Some kind of permission will ultimately be granted. It will be given in a limited form, for a restricted amount of weapons (Referring to the permission for Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons)

Completely came true

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

Even if Pokrovsk falls, but the front does not collapse, I do not believe in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in the very long term

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

As for future exchanges, I have a bad feeling that this situation was unique... Unfortunately, I think this situation will not repeat itself very quickly (We shouldn't expect more prisoner exchanges between Russia and other countries soon, similar to the one that took place on August 1, 2024)

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

I cannot imagine that this will be a trench war for 10-15 years

Awaiting results

Vladimir Pastukhov

ru → en

It is quite clear that sooner or later YouTube will be banned in Russia, unless the regime is overthrown before that... more likely, the regime will cancel YouTube

Completely came true