Vladimir Pastukhov
Political scientist (Russia)
Vladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
Why did Hess fly from Germany to the UK in his own plane and spend the rest of his time there at a guarded estate before the war? I’ve never seen a definitive answer to that question — neither what message he delivered, nor why Hitler decided to send him. I believe the answers to these questions are still stored in archives that are unlikely to be declassified anytime in the next 100–200 years
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
Most likely, if the negotiations continue at this pace for just a bit longer, two events await us: a large-scale spring-summer Russian offensive on the front lines, and the simultaneous disappearance of America from the picture
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
A civil war in Russia is unfolding in a hidden form, and its transition to an open form is practically a foregone conclusion, inevitable. I am not thinking about how to prevent it, but rather how to win it
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
My personal conviction is that, at some point, Russia will inevitably face another Caucasian war. There’s a certain irony in history, that what this regime began with is what it will ultimately end with
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
Some kind of permission will ultimately be granted. It will be given in a limited form, for a restricted amount of weapons (Referring to the permission for Ukraine to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons)
Completely came trueVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
Even if Pokrovsk falls, but the front does not collapse, I do not believe in negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in the very long term
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
As for future exchanges, I have a bad feeling that this situation was unique... Unfortunately, I think this situation will not repeat itself very quickly (We shouldn't expect more prisoner exchanges between Russia and other countries soon, similar to the one that took place on August 1, 2024)
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
I cannot imagine that this will be a trench war for 10-15 years
Awaiting resultsVladimir Pastukhov
ru → en
It is quite clear that sooner or later YouTube will be banned in Russia, unless the regime is overthrown before that... more likely, the regime will cancel YouTube
Completely came true