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My forecast, based purely on intuition and general practice, is that Trump — or rather, to be more precise, the Republicans — should lose these midterm elections, and the majority in Congress should shift to the Democrats. Whether that happens or not, we’ll see

My intuition says that Kamala should win

For Putin, of course, leaving Crimea would mean a political end; this would definitely mark the end of his political career

In this situation, people will not press it (The 'red button' for nuclear weapons will not be pressed if Crimea is de-occupied)

I think that the likelihood of the Americans providing long-range weapons is close to 100% (For Ukraine)

We will win by that time (Ukraine will win before the 2024 U.S. presidential elections)

But my prediction... this birthday that Putin will celebrate... will be his last birthday

It seems to me that this war will not end on the territory of Ukraine, but on the territory of Russia

I believe they will simply be impossible to conduct (About the 'referendums' in the occupied territories of Ukraine)

I would estimate, so to speak, 30 to 70. 30% that he will join, 70% that he will not join (70% that Lukashenko will not join the war against Ukraine)

The change of power in Russia will happen sooner than the war in Ukraine ends