In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero.
In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?"
#Russia
#Russia
ru → en
Notes and References
1) Ian Matveev [https://youtu.be/jYuRTwvX12E?t=2233]
Prediction params: expected, regular, careful