Predictions and promises monitor

| About
en | ru

#Internet

Authors
22
Predictions
28
Verified
1
Came true
0%
Complex
100%
Confident
0%

Tatyana Popova

If you're watching us from Russia and having trouble accessing YouTube, please watch our videos on Telegram. Subscribe to my Telegram channel, and you'll be able to see the videos there, even if YouTube gets blocked for you. Although, by the way, I don’t think that will happen, considering that after a few months, the Kremlin has started uploading its videos to Kremlin ru on YouTube again.
Expected
#YouTube #Censorship #Internet #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I am confident that the time will come when unrestricted access to YouTube will return, so we will not stop our broadcasting on YouTube, especially since a huge number of viewers are outside the Russian Federation and can watch us completely without any restrictions.
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Sarkis Darbinyan

This will lead to changes in Telegram's policy... Most likely, they will reconsider their policy regarding content and moderation... Durov will have to evolve, just like all big tech companies. Telegram will reconsider its policy towards strengthening moderation
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Telegram #Durov
ru → en

Nikolai Kononov

I think that the parameters for cooperation regarding the speed of response to messages will be clarified. For example, I know that the German authorities were outraged when they realized that there was no special employee in Telegram to handle their issues." Telegram will speed up the response time to messages from government agencies as part of a possible agreement made after the detention of Pavel Durov
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Telegram #Durov
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

If we need to predict how exactly Telegram will be killed in Russia, I can make that prediction. Because I see how this is happening in Brazil, where Telegram has been constrained. Certain channels are being blocked in Brazil. So, globally, Telegram channels are not banned, but they are cut off from a significant part of the local audience. Because if you are accessing Telegram from a Brazilian IP address and want to subscribe to some Brazilian Telegram channel, Telegram does not allow you to do this for the same reason that when you open certain Telegram channels on an iPhone, it says that they are unavailable due to iOS policy. This balkanization of the internet as a whole and Telegram in particular will happen, and it seems to me that, unfortunately, this is indeed the most likely scenario for the degradation of Telegram
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Russia #Brazil #Telegram
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe with a high degree of certainty that Durov will grant access to Telegram. While in custody, Durov will agree to cooperate with the French law enforcement system, and let's be frank, with the French means with the American and all the others
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #France #Russia #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Margarita Simonyan

What is the main point in the story with Durov? That everyone who is used to using Telegram for sensitive conversations/messages should delete those messages right now and stop doing so. Because Durov was shut down to take the keys. And he will hand them over.
Expected
#Internet #Censorship #Russia #France #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Vision of the future

Most likely, Macron did not forgive Durov for his connections with the authorities of Azerbaijan, whom Paris accuses of organizing protests in New Caledonia. The protests were allegedly organized through Telegram. However, it is unlikely that Durov will become the new Assange. He will be interrogated, pressured, and then released
Expected
#France #Russia #Internet #Censorship #Durov #Telegram
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

For some reason, everyone has decided that they are going to disable Telegram specifically. But it seems to me that they are not going to disable Telegram, or at least it won't be the first one to be targeted. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship #Telegram
ru → en

Anton Gorelkin

It should be understood that sooner or later, YouTube will close all Russian-speaking channels, regardless of whether their owners are under sanctions or not.
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Vladimir Pastukhov

It is quite clear that sooner or later YouTube will be banned in Russia, unless the regime is overthrown before that... more likely, the regime will cancel YouTube
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Arthur Khachuyan

But what will happen if suddenly they make an update to some legislative bill or bylaw and say that all VPN technologies and this protocol are illegal in Russia? Again, I find it hard to believe.
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Arthur Khachuyan

At this point, they have the ability to shut down YouTube... Will they do it? Honestly, I find it hard to believe... But they might start to slow it down. Regarding the blocking or slowing down of YouTube in Russia
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Aleksandr Plyushchev

Right now, the authorities are trying to understand which VPN a person is using; they need to find the IP address, block it, follow the protocol, and so on, trying to fight against all of this... it's a story of white lists, but not for websites, rather for white traffic. The traffic they know, allowed websites, allowed applications, banks, and everything else that the state approves will not be blocked, while the unauthorized traffic will be. Currently, there is no technical capability to do this. This has been the case for 5 years.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Censorship #Internet #Russia
ru → en

Yaroslav Fedoseev

I ask myself daily what awaits Telegram in the near future. The situation is heating up. The agenda is becoming overloaded. There is more content, but the quality is declining. In my opinion, Telegram is destined to meet the same fate as LiveJournal by the end of this decade...
Expected December 31, 2029
#Internet
ru → en

German Klimenko

I would suggest that, judging by the current reaction, YouTube will remain like this for 3-5 months, and then it will be blocked. In Russia.
Expected February 2, 2025
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Anatoly Nesmiyan

The closure of YouTube in Russia is happening gradually, but it is already clear that it will be completely shut down by the New Year.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en